The Illusion of Control: Why Most Investors Should Do Less, Not More

Sep 24, 2025

AdvisorAlpha

1. Introduction: The Myth of Control in Investing

Every investor dreams of being in control of their financial destiny. The very act of opening a trading account, analyzing stock charts, or reading market news gives a sense of empowerment. Yet, as behavioral finance repeatedly shows, this confidence is often an illusion. The concept is known as the illusion of control – a psychological bias where individuals overestimate their ability to influence outcomes in uncertain situations. In investing, this often translates into overtrading, constant monitoring of markets, and excessive portfolio tinkering.

A story from the Indian equity market illustrates this perfectly. Rajesh, a 34-year-old IT professional from Bengaluru, believed that checking the markets daily and trading frequently would give him an edge. Over five years, he executed more than 1,200 trades, convinced that his constant involvement would deliver superior returns. Yet, when he compared his portfolio to a colleague who simply invested in a Nifty 50 index fund via a systematic investment plan (SIP), he realized he had underperformed by more than 25 percent. His activity made him feel in control, but in reality, it eroded his wealth.

Research supports Rajesh’s experience. A landmark study by Barber and Odean (2000) on US retail investors found that the most active traders underperformed the market by 6.5 percent annually, while those who traded the least earned higher net returns. In India, SEBI’s 2023 report on retail participation in futures and options revealed that 9 out of 10 individual traders lost money, underscoring how excessive activity creates losses rather than gains. The data is clear: more activity does not mean more control, nor does it guarantee higher returns.

The modern investing ecosystem makes this problem worse. Zero-brokerage platforms, gamified trading apps, and real-time notifications encourage investors to believe that action equals progress. Notifications flashing “Top Gainers” or “Market Moving News” create a psychological nudge to act, reinforcing the illusion of control. The result is a generation of investors confusing movement with momentum, activity with achievement.

This article explores why the illusion of control is so dangerous in investing, why doing less often delivers more, and how investors can design a hands-off system that works quietly in the background while beating emotional decision-making. By examining behavioral biases, real-life stories, and long-term data, we will uncover why the most successful investors are not those who do the most, but those who do the least with consistency and discipline.

2. Understanding the Illusion of Control

The illusion of control is a well-documented psychological bias first introduced by psychologist Ellen Langer in 1975. She demonstrated that people often believe they can influence outcomes in games of chance, such as dice rolls or lotteries, simply through their behavior or choices. This illusion becomes even stronger in areas where there is partial knowledge, like financial markets, where data and patterns create the impression of predictability.

In investing, the illusion of control shows up when investors believe that frequent actions such as trading stocks daily, switching mutual funds, or reacting instantly to market news will significantly improve their results. While these activities feel empowering, research shows they rarely add value. Instead, they introduce more opportunities for mistakes, higher transaction costs, and greater emotional stress.

One striking statistic comes from Barber and Odean’s extensive study of 66,465 US households with brokerage accounts. Their research revealed that households trading the most earned an average annual return of 11.4 percent, while the market returned 17.9 percent during the same period. This 6.5 percent gap was the cost of unnecessary activity.

The pattern holds true in India as well. According to the National Stock Exchange (NSE), the average holding period for Indian retail investors has fallen drastically over the last two decades. In the early 2000s, investors typically held equities for 2–3 years, but in 2023, many hold them for less than 6 months. This shift toward short-termism reflects the illusion of control: the belief that one can time every market move better than the system itself.

A real-world example helps highlight this. Kavita, a doctor from Mumbai, believed that her medical training in research and data analysis gave her an edge in stock picking. She spent evenings analyzing company reports, buying and selling frequently. Over a decade, her portfolio delivered just under 8 percent annually. Meanwhile, her friend who invested steadily in a diversified equity mutual fund through SIPs saw annualized returns of nearly 12 percent. Despite spending far less time on investing, her friend outperformed because she avoided the pitfalls of overconfidence and the illusion of control.

The psychological roots of this bias are simple: action feels better than inaction. Investors struggle with uncertainty, and making a move – buying, selling, reallocating – creates a false sense of mastery. Yet markets are influenced by countless variables beyond an individual’s control, from global economic shifts to political events. When investors mistake activity for control, they often end up chasing noise rather than capturing meaningful long-term trends.

Understanding this bias is the first step toward overcoming it. Recognizing that markets are inherently uncertain helps investors shift from a reactive mindset to a strategic one, where fewer but smarter decisions can create more sustainable wealth.

3. Overactivity in Modern Investing

The rise of digital trading platforms has made investing more accessible than ever, but it has also fueled one of the biggest challenges for investors: overactivity. What was once a relatively deliberate process involving calling brokers or filling forms is now a few taps on a smartphone. This convenience, while democratizing investing, has also amplified the illusion of control by encouraging investors to trade more often than necessary.

Zero-brokerage platforms and gamified apps play a central role. By removing the visible cost of trading, they make constant buying and selling feel harmless. In reality, every transaction has hidden costs – bid-ask spreads, impact costs, and short-term capital gains taxes. A study by the CFA Institute in 2022 found that retail investors who traded frequently through commission-free platforms still underperformed by 3–5 percent annually compared to those who adopted low-turnover strategies. The absence of explicit fees did not eliminate the drag of overactivity.

The Indian market reflects this trend vividly. According to NSE data, retail participation in futures and options (F&O) surged dramatically between 2018 and 2023. By 2023, over 9 million individuals were trading derivatives, but SEBI’s research revealed that 90 percent of these traders lost money, with the median loss per individual standing at ₹1.1 lakh annually. The sheer scale of these losses highlights how platforms that promote constant engagement reinforce behaviors driven more by the illusion of control than sound investment strategy.

Gamification deepens the problem. Many trading apps use features like leaderboards, notifications about “top movers,” and even confetti animations when trades are executed. These design choices mimic mobile games, rewarding activity rather than results. Investors feel productive and “in control” every time they act, even if those actions erode returns. It is no coincidence that the average holding period for Indian equities has shrunk from years to mere months in the last two decades.

Take the example of Sameer, a 28-year-old from Pune who began investing during the pandemic. Drawn by the ease of zero-brokerage apps, he placed dozens of trades every week, convinced that staying hyperactive kept him ahead of the market. Two years later, his portfolio had grown only 4 percent annually, barely outpacing inflation. In contrast, his cousin, who simply invested in a Nifty 50 index fund through SIPs, saw annualized returns of nearly 13 percent over the same period. Sameer mistook activity for control and paid the price in lost opportunities.

Modern investing tools are powerful, but they also demand discipline. Without a framework, they encourage investors to equate clicks with control, when in fact, the evidence overwhelmingly shows that doing more often results in achieving less.

4. The Cost of Doing Too Much

At first glance, frequent trading and portfolio tinkering may appear harmless. After all, modern platforms make transactions nearly free, instant, and seamless. Yet beneath the surface, overactivity comes with costs that slowly but surely erode wealth. These costs are both financial and psychological, often leaving investors worse off than those who follow a patient, hands-off approach.

The most obvious cost is financial drag. Every trade, even on zero-brokerage platforms, carries indirect expenses such as bid-ask spreads, securities transaction tax, and short-term capital gains tax. According to a Morningstar India report, frequent churn in equity mutual funds reduced average annual investor returns by nearly 2 percent compared to the funds’ actual performance. In other words, investors who jumped in and out earned less than those who simply stayed invested.

Global data reinforces this pattern. Barber and Odean’s study of US investors revealed that the top quintile of traders, who churned their portfolios the most, underperformed low-activity investors by over 6 percent annually. This performance gap compounds significantly over decades. For an investor starting with ₹10 lakh, the difference could mean retiring with ₹50 lakh less than a peer who simply stayed the course.

Taxes are another silent killer of returns. Investors who frequently sell holdings within a year are liable to pay short-term capital gains tax at 15 percent in India. Over time, these small cuts can significantly lower effective returns. A 2021 CRISIL analysis found that investors who booked frequent profits in mid-cap funds saw net returns nearly 4 percent lower than SIP investors who allowed compounding to work uninterrupted.

Beyond financial erosion, there are hidden psychological costs. Constant monitoring of the market increases stress and decision fatigue. A study by MIT researchers found that investors who checked their portfolios daily were 50 percent more likely to make impulsive trades compared to those who reviewed monthly. The illusion of control creates a feedback loop: the more investors act, the more they feel responsible for outcomes, amplifying anxiety when results fall short.

Consider the case of Anita, a 42-year-old business owner from Delhi. Convinced that being hands-on was the key to success, she made dozens of trades each month. The stress of monitoring markets seeped into her daily life, affecting her sleep and business focus. After shifting to a disciplined SIP strategy in equity mutual funds, she not only improved her returns but also reduced her anxiety, demonstrating that less activity often restores both wealth and peace of mind.

Overactivity may feel like progress, but in reality, it is a costly illusion. Investors who recognize these hidden drains – transaction costs, taxes, stress, and missed compounding – can shift their focus from doing more to doing better.

5. Why Doing Less Often Delivers More

One of the paradoxes of investing is that the best results often come not from constant action but from disciplined inaction. Patience, time in the market, and the power of compounding consistently outperform frequent trading and short-term speculation. Doing less may feel counterintuitive in a world that equates activity with productivity, yet the evidence is overwhelming: less is more when it comes to building long-term wealth.

The most compelling proof lies in the history of equity markets. Data from the BSE Sensex shows that investors who stayed invested for rolling 10-year periods between 2000 and 2020 earned annualized returns of 12 to 14 percent, even accounting for downturns like the 2008 global financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic crash. By contrast, those who tried to time exits and reentries often missed the market’s strongest recovery days. A 2022 Morningstar study found that missing just the 10 best days in the market over 20 years reduced returns by more than 40 percent compared to staying fully invested.

This principle is equally evident in systematic investment plans (SIPs), one of the most popular tools in India. AMFI data from 2023 shows that investors who maintained SIPs for over 10 years achieved average returns of 12 to 14 percent, while those who interrupted or stopped during downturns saw significantly lower wealth creation. The discipline of doing less – simply continuing contributions regardless of market noise – enabled investors to harness compounding without the stress of constant decisions.

Real-life examples further reinforce the point. In Chennai, an engineer named Arvind began a ₹10,000 monthly SIP in 2010, investing across diversified equity funds. Despite facing market volatility in 2013, 2018, and 2020, he never stopped his contributions. By 2023, his corpus had grown to nearly ₹27 lakh, a growth rate of over 13 percent annualized. His friend, who frequently paused SIPs to “wait for better entry points,” accumulated only ₹18 lakh in the same period. The difference was not stock-picking genius but consistency.

International markets tell the same story. Vanguard’s research in the US revealed that 80 to 90 percent of investor outcomes are determined by asset allocation and staying invested, while attempts at market timing often lead to underperformance. Even professional fund managers struggle with overactivity: SPIVA reports consistently show that most actively managed funds underperform passive indices over long horizons.

The lesson is simple: doing less allows compounding to do more. By resisting the temptation to tinker and by trusting a well-structured plan, investors avoid the pitfalls of timing errors, reduce transaction costs, and capture the full benefit of market recoveries. This patient approach does not eliminate risk but transforms it into manageable volatility that ultimately rewards the disciplined investor.

6. Systems Beat Emotions

When it comes to investing, emotions are often the biggest enemy. Fear, greed, and the urge to act can derail even the best-laid plans. This is why systems matter. A rules-based investment strategy creates structure, removes impulsive decision-making, and ensures that long-term goals stay on track. Instead of relying on willpower alone, investors can rely on systems that work quietly in the background.

Behavioral finance has long documented the pitfalls of emotional investing. The DALBAR Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior, a widely cited US study, shows that the average equity mutual fund investor underperformed the S&P 500 by nearly 7 percentage points annually over a 30-year period, largely because of emotional decisions – selling during downturns and chasing performance during rallies. The findings highlight that knowledge is not enough; without discipline enforced by systems, human emotions tend to sabotage returns.

Automated investing tools like SIPs, robo-advisors, and asset allocation models are powerful precisely because they reduce the scope for emotional interference. For example, SIP flows in India crossed ₹15,800 crore per month in mid-2023, according to AMFI, with more than 6.7 crore SIP accounts active. This remarkable growth reflects how investors are increasingly relying on systematic contributions instead of trying to time the market. By setting a fixed amount that is invested every month, they eliminate decision fatigue and benefit from rupee cost averaging.

Stories of ordinary investors show the power of automation. Take the case of Kavita, a schoolteacher in Pune, who began a ₹5,000 SIP in 2015 across balanced funds. She admits that if she had to decide every month whether to invest, she would have skipped contributions during market corrections in 2016 and 2020. Instead, because her SIP was automated, her investments continued seamlessly. By 2023, her portfolio had grown to ₹9.8 lakh, a return profile that would have been nearly impossible had she acted on her fears during downturns.

Even at the institutional level, systematic strategies outperform reactive ones. Factor-based funds and index funds, which follow strict rules without succumbing to sentiment, have seen massive inflows worldwide. In India, index funds and ETFs now account for more than ₹6.5 lakh crore in AUM (2023 data), growing steadily as investors seek dependable systems over human discretion.

The takeaway is clear: systems create guardrails that protect investors from themselves. By automating contributions, rebalancing portfolios periodically, and adhering to asset allocation plans, investors can neutralize the destructive impact of emotions. The discipline that comes from systems is not rigid but liberating – it allows investors to step back, stop second-guessing, and focus on life while their wealth compounds quietly.

7. The Beauty of Simplicity

In investing, complexity often masquerades as sophistication. Many investors believe that owning dozens of funds, trading frequently, or experimenting with exotic products is the hallmark of a “serious” strategy. Yet history shows that the most successful investors are often those who embrace simplicity, not complexity. A simple, consistent plan is easier to follow, reduces stress, and eliminates the confusion that often leads to costly mistakes.

Legendary investor Warren Buffett has famously advocated for simple strategies. In fact, he has repeatedly said that for most investors, the best approach is to buy low-cost index funds and hold them for the long term. His advice is rooted in evidence. According to SPIVA India’s 2023 report, over 85 percent of actively managed equity funds underperformed the S&P BSE 100 over a five-year period. Investors chasing complexity often paid higher fees and received worse outcomes compared to those who stuck with simple, rule-based products.

There is also a strong psychological case for simplicity. Research from Morningstar has shown that investors who hold fewer, well-understood investments experience less anxiety and are more likely to stay invested through market cycles. This matters because, as studies from JP Morgan demonstrate, missing just 10 of the best-performing days in the market over a 20-year period can slash overall returns by more than half. Investors who try to time the market or manage overly complex portfolios often end up missing these crucial days.

Real-life stories bring this lesson home. Consider Arjun, a young professional in Hyderabad, who initially spread his investments across more than 20 mutual funds, including sector-specific ones. The overlapping portfolios made it impossible to track performance, and during volatile periods, he panicked and sold at the wrong time. After consulting an advisor, he consolidated his portfolio into three funds: a large-cap index, a mid-cap fund, and a short-duration debt fund. Over the next seven years, his portfolio returned a steady 13 percent annually, with far less stress. He realized that simplicity was not only profitable but also gave him peace of mind.

Even globally, the most successful retirement systems emphasize simplicity. For instance, the US 401(k) system, which has grown into a $7 trillion retirement savings vehicle, has shifted heavily toward target-date funds. These funds automatically adjust allocation as investors age, offering a simple, one-decision solution that balances growth and safety. The popularity of such funds underscores how simplicity scales better than complexity when it comes to long-term investing.

Simplicity also reduces the hidden costs of investing. Complex strategies often involve higher management fees, transaction costs, and tax inefficiencies. By contrast, straightforward plans like index investing or systematic plans minimize these drags and let compounding work uninterrupted. The combination of lower costs and higher discipline explains why investors who embrace simplicity often achieve better risk-adjusted returns.

The beauty of simplicity lies not in doing less for the sake of laziness but in doing less with purpose. It is about stripping away noise, avoiding distractions, and focusing on the core drivers of wealth creation: time in the market, disciplined contributions, and patient compounding.

8. Practical Steps to Doing Less (and Achieving More)

Understanding that simplicity works is one thing, but applying it in practice is another. Many investors struggle to cut down on activity because they feel “inaction” equals missed opportunity. In reality, simplifying your approach and automating parts of your financial life often produces stronger outcomes than constant tinkering.

The first step is to reduce the number of investment products. According to a 2022 survey by ET Wealth, over 60 percent of urban Indian investors hold more than 10 mutual funds. This often leads to duplication and dilution of returns. Consolidating into a handful of diversified funds—such as one large-cap index, one flexi-cap, and one debt instrument—can cover 90 percent of what most investors need. By minimizing overlap, tracking performance becomes easier, and decision-making becomes more rational.

Automation is another critical strategy. Setting up systematic investment plans (SIPs) in mutual funds or ETFs ensures that contributions continue regardless of market conditions. Data from AMFI shows that SIP inflows in India hit ₹16,000 crore per month in 2023, underscoring how investors increasingly rely on automation to build wealth. This approach removes emotions from the equation and leverages rupee-cost averaging, which smooths out volatility over time.

Rebalancing is also essential, but it does not require daily monitoring. A simple annual check-up is enough. For example, if your target allocation is 70 percent equity and 30 percent debt, and equity grows to 80 percent after a bull run, trimming back to the original ratio prevents overexposure. Studies from Vanguard show that disciplined rebalancing enhances long-term returns while reducing risk.

Investors should also avoid the temptation of frequent news consumption. A 2020 study by Dalbar found that US investors underperformed the S&P 500 by nearly 5 percent annually over 20 years because they reacted to headlines instead of sticking to strategy. Creating a “financial diet,” where you check markets at fixed intervals rather than hourly, reduces stress and helps keep focus on the bigger picture.

The final step is embracing patience. A simple, rules-based plan only works if investors resist the urge to abandon it during downturns. As history shows, markets reward patience. Over the last 30 years, the Nifty 50 has delivered a compounded annual growth rate of nearly 11 percent, despite multiple crises. Investors who stayed invested through volatility reaped the benefits, while those who panicked often locked in losses.

In practice, doing less means doing what matters most: fewer products, automated investing, periodic rebalancing, less news, and more patience. These steps form a hands-off system that reduces anxiety, saves time, and allows compounding to work unhindered.

9. Case Studies: Investors Who Thrived by Stepping Back

The power of “doing less” is best illustrated through real-life case studies of investors who embraced simplicity and reaped the rewards.

Consider Meera, a 35-year-old doctor in Pune. With long shifts and little time to track the markets, she initially jumped into stock tips shared by colleagues. The result was a scattered portfolio with inconsistent returns. In 2015, she switched to a simple SIP in two mutual funds: one large-cap index and one short-duration bond fund. She automated her contributions and reviewed her investments only once a year. By 2023, her portfolio had grown at an average annual rate of 12 percent, all while requiring less than five hours of active involvement per year. Meera discovered that less effort delivered more peace of mind and better results.

Another example is Rajesh, an SME owner in Surat. During the 2008 crisis, Rajesh tried to time the market, selling in panic and buying back too late. After suffering heavy losses, he shifted to a simple model portfolio recommended by his advisor: 60 percent equity index, 30 percent debt, and 10 percent gold. He resisted the urge to trade and rebalanced annually. Over the next decade, his portfolio not only recovered but compounded at 11 percent annually, outperforming peers who traded actively. By 2019, Rajesh had enough confidence to fund his daughter’s overseas education without taking loans. His biggest lesson was that restraint and discipline often outperform complexity.

Internationally, the late John Bogle, founder of Vanguard, built his career on the principle of doing less. He championed the idea of index funds, which are essentially the simplest investment vehicles available. Today, Vanguard manages over $7 trillion in assets globally, proving that millions of investors have embraced his philosophy. According to Morningstar, investors in Vanguard’s flagship index funds consistently outperform the average mutual fund investor over long horizons—not because they are doing more, but because they are doing less.

These stories emphasize a critical truth: success in investing is not about outsmarting the market every day. It is about designing a plan, sticking with it, and resisting the urge to constantly intervene. Doing less is not laziness—it is strategy. And in the long run, it can make the difference between anxiety-filled investing and true financial freedom.

10. Mastering the Art of Restraint

At its heart, investing is not a game of constant action. It is a discipline built on patience, structure, and emotional balance. The illusion of control tempts investors to believe that more activity equals more progress. In reality, history and research both prove that less interference often creates better long-term results.

The idea that most investors should do less, not more, is not just theory. It is reflected in decades of market data. Studies by Dalbar and Morningstar consistently show that individual investors underperform indices by several percentage points annually, largely because they react to short-term noise. Conversely, investors who adopt hands-off strategies—such as index investing, SIPs, or simple asset allocation models—tend to achieve returns close to or even above the market average. Doing less does not mean neglecting your finances; it means creating a system where you set the rules, automate the process, and trust compounding to do its job.

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SEBI Registration Number (RA License) – INH000021818

CIN: U67200MH2020PTC338091

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About the company

Registration Name – Renaissance Smart Tech Private Limited

Type of Registration- Non-Individual
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Date of grant and Validity of Registration: November 30, 2021 – Perpetual

Office Address: Office No. 508, 5th Floor, B Wing, Mittal Commercial Premises CHS Ltd
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Compliance & Grievance officer

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Contact number: 8655387833

Principal Officer

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Contact number: 8655387833

Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing.

Standard Disclaimer: Registration granted by SEBI, enlistment as IA with Exchange and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors

SEBI regional office – G Block, Near Bank of India, Plot No. C 4-A, G Block Rd, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra East, Mumbai, Maharashtra 400051

© 2025 All rights reserved Advisor Alpha.

SEBI Registration Number (RA License) – INH000021818

CIN: U67200MH2020PTC338091

BSE Enlistment number 1494

About the company

Registration Name – Renaissance Smart Tech Private Limited

Type of Registration- Non-Individual
Separate Identifiable division of RA: Renaissance Smart Tech Private Ltd.

Date of grant and Validity of Registration: November 30, 2021 – Perpetual

Office Address: Office No. 508, 5th Floor, B Wing, Mittal Commercial Premises CHS Ltd
Off. M.V. Road. Near Mittal Estate, Marol, Andheri (East), Mumbai- 400059

Compliance & Grievance officer

Ms. Nidhi Kamani

Contact number: 8655387833

Principal Officer

Mr. Nipun Jalan

Contact number: 8655387833

Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing.

Standard Disclaimer: Registration granted by SEBI, enlistment as IA with Exchange and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors

SEBI regional office – G Block, Near Bank of India, Plot No. C 4-A, G Block Rd, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra East, Mumbai, Maharashtra 400051

© 2025 All rights reserved Advisor Alpha.

SEBI Registration Number (RA License) – INH000021818

CIN: U67200MH2020PTC338091

BSE Enlistment number 1494

About the company

Registration Name – Renaissance Smart Tech Private Limited

Type of Registration- Non-Individual
Separate Identifiable division of RA: Renaissance Smart Tech Private Ltd.

Date of grant and Validity of Registration: November 30, 2021 – Perpetual

Office Address: Office No. 508, 5th Floor, B Wing, Mittal Commercial Premises CHS Ltd
Off. M.V. Road. Near Mittal Estate, Marol, Andheri (East), Mumbai- 400059

Compliance & Grievance officer

Ms. Nidhi Kamani

Contact number: 8655387833

Principal Officer

Mr. Nipun Jalan

Contact number: 8655387833

Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing.

Standard Disclaimer: Registration granted by SEBI, enlistment as IA with Exchange and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors

SEBI regional office – G Block, Near Bank of India, Plot No. C 4-A, G Block Rd, Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra East, Mumbai, Maharashtra 400051